Tag: donald-trump

Autocracy, Inc. by Anne Applebaum, Ch. 4, Changing the Operating System/Hegemony

From a Google Image Search – What’s so bad about multipolarity? – Al Majalla

When we look at politics in America at this moment, poised as we are to go to the polls to elect a new president, and when we realize that one candidate wants to change America’s operating system while the other candidate will stay within the parameters our founder’s and previous administrations have designed for us, we can’t help looking ahead and imagining what American governance will be like in the future. The world seems to be slowly converting to autocratic governments run by dictators who pay loyalists by turning them into oligarchs to ensure their continued loyalty. These oligarchs steal money from citizens, stashing it away in tax shelters or secret bank accounts allowing kleptocracy to exist together with autocracy. How grim life becomes for people who are not part of these governments depends on the temperament and ideology of the “dear leader.”

Autocracy is not as shocking in a country that has never been a democracy, which perhaps evolved from a monarchy to a communist government and then to a dictatorship. But it is shocking to hear autocratic echoes in America which has always been a democracy since it won the right to be a sovereign nation rather than a colony. (We could take a moment to bemoan our imperialism, but it won’t help us in this instance.)

“Sovereign” is a key term that autocrats like to use, Anne Applebaum tells us in Chapter 4 of her book, Autocracy, Inc. As in, we are a “sovereign” nation. Keep your laws out of our country. Mind your own government. Your human rights are not necessarily our human rights.

In a review of Timothy Snyder’s new book, On Freedom, in the New York Times, the reviewer reminds us that

“On Nov. 9 it will be 35 years since the Berlin Wall fell. The exhilaration of that moment was followed by high hopes for the spread of democracy throughout Eastern Europe, then in Russia itself when the Soviet Union imploded. Gradually hope gave way to frustration, disappointment and then dismay. Russia did not become a liberal democracy, and nor did a number of its former satrapies.”

Sovereignty means keep your mitts off my country, hegemony means my country belongs at the top of the heap because it has the strongest economy, government, and military. If America held the hegemony in the twentieth century, other nations, autocratic nations, are competing for hegemony in the twenty-first century and beyond. We didn’t necessarily need Anne Applebaum to tell us this. As humans, we understand human nature. Competition seems hardwired in humans and all living things. What Anne Applebaum is telling us is that autocrats might be uniting to woo underdeveloped countries with aid and support for their autocratic leaders to create a world-wide-web of autocratic nations for the strength in numbers that might shift hegemony from America and the West to China and/or Russia.

Where once (after WWII) human rights became a goal of the nations that beat the Nazis and did not end up behind the “Iron Curtain” of Stalin’s Russia, all bets are now off. Where once nations declared that “recognition of the inherent dignity and of the equal and inalienable rights of all members of the human family is the foundation of freedom, justice and peace in the world. It is also acknowledged that ‘disregard and contempt for human rights have resulted in barbarous acts which have outraged the conscience of mankind.’…everyone has the right to life, liberty, and security of person. Applebaum continues to remind us of what was said in the shadow of Nazi genocide, “No one should be subjected to arbitrary arrest, detention, or exile. Torture and slavery should be banned.” (p. 99)

Applebaum speaks of what has been collectively known as “the rules-based order.  She goes on to say that how the world ought to work is not how it actually works, that many signatories have violated these rules, but that (for now) they still influence behavior in the real world.”(p. 100)

She warns us that powerful autocracies like China or Russia want to get rid of the language of these old agreements. Xi Jinping said this while addressing the Communist Party in 2017, “China seeks to take an active part in leading reform of the global governance system.” She tells us the remarks of Andrea Worden, a legal scholar and China expert, “For the CCP to attain the moral legitimacy, respect, and recognition it needs for leadership of a new world order, it must remove the threat of Western universal human rights.” (p.101)

She tells us what Putin has to say about sovereignty. “Sovereignty includes the right to abuse citizens at home and to invade others abroad. This privilege is available to only a very few large nations. There are not many countries in the world that have sovereignty.” (p.102)

Another term that is popular with autocrats right now according to Applebaum is the term “multipolarity” because it telegraphs an organization of autocratic states, banded together for greater power, stronger economics, and hegemony.  Of course, hegemony is not up for grabs. As in Putin’s view on sovereignty, hegemony belongs to very few nations, or perhaps only one and that would be whatever country wins the hegemony competition, takes hegemony away from the US.

What does this have to do with America? A lot. We have an autocrat running to be our president right now and he has a passionate cult following. You might also want to read this article from today’s New York Times about what liberals may not realize about MAGAs.

If you are paying any attention to politics, then you must have heard that this is an existential election. Donald Trump is not only not a Democrat, but he also doesn’t put much stock in democracy. He likes strong men and sees himself as one of these alpha males. He wants to head America and go steady with other autocrats. He may even think that his presence alone will ensure America’s hegemony among autocratic nations.

Perhaps inciting your followers to violence is something strong leaders do, but Trump doesn’t like to take responsibility for the violence he incites. Other autocrats have no difficulty showing that they don’t just intimidate, they act (although often they still delegate violent actions to others). Donald Trump believes that by changing the rules he can change our minds. He believes his propaganda is more effective than 240 years of living in a democracy. Americans have no experience living in an autocratic state. Even if he wins one, it might be hard to keep it. How will it feel if he actually sends troops out to round up immigrants (both legal and illegal) and spends our tax dollars to deport them or puts them in “camps” which are nothing like sports camps or computer camps but more like the Japanese Internment camps.

China, Applebaum says, wants to change the language, to throw out “political rights” or “human rights” and replace it with squishy language like “win-win cooperation” and “mutual respect.” (pp. 102-3)”

When I read the book To Paradise by Hana Yanagihara (which was not an easy book because of the way it skipped around in place and time while focusing on one family and its descendants) the book offered glimpses of an America under the thumb of the Chinese government (the UK was still a free nation). The America she depicts bears little resemblance to our beloved democracy/republic. Applebaum’s careful discussion and her evidence for a future united autocratic institution (the anti-UN) is a warning that we are in danger of losing our access to whatever human rights we still treasure and that many nations around the world will rejoice if we choose autocracy, if we replace “the rule of law” with “rule by law” (or whatever the leader says).

“A world in which autocracies work together to stay in power, work together to promote their system, and work together to damage democracies is not some distant dystopia. That world is the one we are living in right now,” says Anne Applebaum. (p. 121)

The Fifth Risk: Undoing Democracy by Michael Lewis-Book

From a Google image Search – Facts.net

Michael Lewis’ book The Fifth Risk is nonfiction. It examines what happened in several government agencies when Trump won the 2016 election. Presidents usually put their own people in as heads of our government agencies, and they tend to do it quickly and strategically. A team is generally sent in to make a smooth transition in services that benefit key groups which in turn benefit American citizens.

When Trump took office several department/agencies saw no transition team arrive and if a new head of agency had been appointed, they tended to arrive alone and late and to ignore the transition materials prepared by outgoing staff.

By now Americans have heard plenty about the Heritage Foundation’s agenda for the RNC if Trump wins in 2024 in the nearly 1000-page Project 2025 pdf. Lewis in his book The Fifth Risk takes a deep dive on a few areas where Republicans already showed us what changes they plan to make in programs that Americans rely on, programs that Republicans want to shut down. Trump, in his first term as President, tended to replace career people who were experts in their fields with loyalists who planned to deconstruct the departments they led.

One of these departments was the Department of Energy. Trump and Republicans are climate deniers. They do not want to implement alternative energies; they would rather rely even more heavily on fossil fuels. Employees in the Department of Energy expected people to be sent by the new administration to the department for the transition. They had all the transition notebooks ready to bring the new staff up to date on things like how to stop a virus, how to take a census, how to tell if a foreign nation has nuclear capability. No one showed. A man named Pyle finally showed up but would not listen to experts in the department. He suggested weekly meetings but never attended them. He sent a list of 24 questions which asked for lists of attendees to energy meetings. All DOE scientific experts were told to leave despite the need for national nuclear security.

Chapter II tells the story of Ali Zaidis whose parents moved him from Karachi to a small American town with no Muslims. Ali became a Republican until he traveled with the America’s Promise Board to help in New Orleans after Katrina. He was shocked by the poverty he saw. He asked himself how anyone could “lift themselves up by their own bootstraps” when there were no bootstraps. This question also came up – “If you’re a store owner after a weather crisis, should you hike up the cost of flashlights.” Members of the Republican Club said yes. Ali said no. So, Ali joined the Obama campaign and took a job at the White House. He was using data from the Department of Agriculture. It was a month before anyone showed up in 2016 from the Trump administration. The appointee was a hunter and gun enthusiast. He wanted a list of employees who worked on climate change. The Trump administration sent in employees with little or no agriculture experience and everyone was instructed not to say “climate change”. Sonny Purdue finally arrived in April.

The USDA had a particularly complicated budget. They oversaw food services and school lunch programs and WIC. Trump cut food stamps over 25%. People are convinced that food stamp recipients buy things that are not acceptable and sell their food stamps for cash. Since the EBT cards were put into use cheating was rare. Hungry people are not always fed. The states get the money, but they don’t have to use it to feed people. “We are proud to do the absolute minimum,” said one state leader. I haven’t told you all the sad anecdotes. It’s the Department of Agriculture after all and we haven’t even talked about farms yet. Changes in ag-science drive changes in society.

The third department discussed by Lewis is the department that keeps track of the weather. Before the technology developed and computers were able to handle complex data, there was very little data available about the weather. After a deadly hurricane hit Joplin, Missouri it was noted that tornado warnings often came too late. We have seen the improvement in weather data since early days. When the Trump team came in to the agency employees were not allowed to say the word “tornado”, because I guess if you don’t say it then it won’t happen? (Ridiculous) Since the arrival of weather channels like AccuWeather people tend to think that their weather reports come from private endeavors, and they don’t realize the role of government and science in supporting the collection of weather data. Republicans want to stop sending out weather data for free and to sell it to private enterprises that will then sell it to us.

Although this book is about the first Trump administration the author warns us of what might happen in a second Trump term. Michael Lewis covers information that many citizens don’t have access to in his book The Fifth Risk. Be informed.